Game Overview
Date: January 5, 2025
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
Teams: Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) vs. Denver Broncos (9-7)
With the NFL regular season wrapping up, one of the most exciting games to watch is the Kansas City Chiefs going up against the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs have locked in the number one spot in the AFC playoffs, but the Broncos are in a do-or-die scenario if they want to make it to the postseason. This Week 18 clash is set to be an electrifying battle with major stakes for both squads.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are rolling into this game with a stellar 15-1 record, proving just how strong they’ve been all season long. Head coach Andy Reid has put together an offensive powerhouse, with superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes at the helm. But in a smart decision to give their key players a breather before the playoffs, Mahomes won’t be on the field this time. Backup quarterback Carson Wentz will step up and lead the offense instead.
The Chiefs have shown impressive depth and toughness, even with this change. They’re putting up an average of 24.2 points per game this season, which puts them among the best offenses in the league. Their scoring power is backed by a well-rounded approach, highlighted by a solid running game with Isiah Pacheco and a lively receiving group led by tight end Travis Kelce.
Denver Broncos
The Broncos are heading into this game with a 9-7 record, and they’re really pushing to secure a playoff spot. They had a bit of a rough beginning to the season, but rookie quarterback Bo Nix has stepped up and shown some impressive skills lately. The offense is putting up an average of 20.4 points per game, but they’ve been leaning on their defense to stay in the game.
Denver’s defense has been impressive, giving up just 19.4 points per game, which puts them among the league’s best. The standout player here is linebacker Patrick Surtain II, who has a skill in shaking up rival offenses and forcing turnovers.
Key Players to Watch
Kansas City Chiefs
Carson Wentz (QB): Wentz needs to take charge and handle the game well while staying cool and making wise choices, especially with Mahomes taking a break.
Travis Kelce (TE): A dependable option who can take advantage of the gaps in the Broncos’ defense; Kelce’s know-how will be crucial for Wentz to thrive.
Denver Broncos
Bo Nix (QB): The newcomer has been impressive all season long and will have to step up when facing the skilled Chiefs defense.
Courtland Sutton (WR): A vital playmaker who can open up the field and make big plays; his skills in getting free will be essential for Nix’s success.
Betting Odds
The odds are stacked in favor of the Broncos because of their playoff situation, especially with the Chiefs sitting out some of their star players:
Spread: Broncos -10
Moneyline: Broncos -500, Chiefs +425
Total Points Over/Under: 39 points
The predictive analytics models indicate that the Broncos are heavily favored to win this game, with their chances sitting at about 84%. Considering the Chiefs are likely to have a less experienced team on the field, this prediction makes a lot of sense.
Tactical Analysis
Kansas City Chiefs
With Wentz under center, the Chiefs are likely to take a more cautious approach on offense. They might focus on their running game to manage the clock and reduce turnovers, while also using quick passes to Kelce and other receivers to get into a groove right from the start.
Denver Broncos
The Broncos are probably going to try to take advantage of playing at home by getting ahead early with a well-rounded offense. Nix should make good use of play-action passes to keep Kansas City’s defense on their toes, while counting on running back Javonte Williams to rack up steady yardage on the ground.
Given the current situation of both teams—especially with the Chiefs taking a break for their key players and the Broncos pushing hard for a playoff chance.
Sports Betting Ace’s Final Score Prediction: Denver Broncos 24 – Kansas City Chiefs 15