The San Francisco face the Green Bay Packers in the NFC divisional playoffs on Saturday
Game time is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisc. The game will be televised and streamed on FOX and FOX Deportes. The 49ers were the lone underdog to win on wild-card weekend, and they are a dangerous proposition for the Packers. Green Bay needed a last-second field goal from Mason Crosby for a 30-28 victory against San Francisco on Sept. 26.
The NFL’s hottest team takes on the NFL’s best team – by record, anyway – when Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Francisco 49ers head to Lambeau Field to face Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers in an NFC Divisional Round showdown on Saturday night. The Niners have won eight of 10 games, including a huge victory at Dallas in the Wild Card round. The Packers beat the 49ers 30-28 in San Francisco on a last-minute rally by Rodgers, but that was back in Week 3.
Betting sites and betting apps have Green Bay as a 5.5-point favorite, with an Over/Under of 47.5 points in the latest 49ers vs. Packers odds. When it comes to NFL spreads in this rubber match, the line dropped to -4.5 when announced last Sunday but went back to its original line by Monday.
Green Bay was playing for the top overall seed in the NFC for several reasons. Pride, an extra week to heal key injuries, and home-field advantage. Although the majority of the teams in the NFL benefit when playing at home, Green Bay’s advantage is significantly greater than most clubs.
The Packers rank fifth in the NFL in points per game at home, and they’re scoring nearly 8 more points per game in Green Bay than on the road. They also rank fourth in the league in points per play at home, which is nearly 0.1 more than on the road.
Green Bay may benefit more defensively than offensively at home. They’re allowing the second-fewest points per game at home, and the number sits nearly 10 points below what they allow on the road. Furthermore, the Packers are allowing only 0.279 points per play at home compared to 0.425 on the road.
Overall, Green Bay owns a perfect 8-0 record with a +13.9 average scoring margin in Wisconsin this season. The first-round bye was great for the Packers, but playing at home will likely be their biggest key to success in the postseason.
It has been a LONG time for both to be in the Super Bowl and clearly one will have an even longer drought, after today. The 49ers beat Dallas in Dallas in a controversial ending last week. SF was our best play last weekend so not controversial in our opinion but even if they had a second, they weren’t getting the touchdown, so let’s end that now.
SF has some issues this week. First, let’s just look at the travel. This is their 7th road game since November 21, 2021 (7 out of 10 total) and third in a row. I don’t care what anyone says, that takes a toll on your body, going from the warmth of LA to the dome in Dallas and now to the frigid frozen tundra of Green Bay, where it will be below 20 degrees (SF will be in the 60’s on Saturday).
We saw how the 49ers ended the regular season. They got down 17-0 at half and came back and beat the Rams. Then did the opposite against Dallas, so we have a lot of hit or miss. Meanwhile, GB was 8-0 at home this season and 7-1 ATS. This team likes to get a lead and then cruise with the bruising AJ Dillon and the all-purpose Aaron Jones. The 1H line is -3. Why sit around and see if SF will play the comeback game or get a backdoor? Why wait for this 3 to go to 3.5, because it won’t go to 2.5? We bite the bullet.
We have the best team in the NFC, in their home, in the cold, as healthy as they have been all year, facing a beat-up road team who barely escaped to make it here. We also have a bad situational spot for an underdog wild card team, playing back-to-back road games where it has only won one time in the last decade.
Prediction: Packers -5.5